Saturday, September 8, 2012

False Choices From a Failed Messiah

False Choices From a Failed Messiah
By Quin Hillyer on 9.6.12 @ 6:09AM

A boundless ego laid bare as he slams GOP's "past policies."

The Anointed One, the Occupier of the Oval Office, who will accept his party's renomination for president tonight in Charlotte, has created chapter and verse of the political version of an Old Testament -- a mythology explaining how the United States fell into economic difficulties and why his attempts to extricate us from distress so far have been unavailing. The problem is that, like most mythologies but very much unlike the real Old Testament, the Anointed One's explanations are entirely wrongheaded, and sometimes outright dishonest.

The Anointed One (henceforth A.O.) has repeated ad nauseam the claim that the only thing his opponent Mitt Romney offers is "the same failed policies that got us into this mess in the first place." The problems with this claim are two-fold. First, the Romney-Ryan team clearly does offer different policies than those of the past. Second, the policies of the past that Obama blames implicitly (he's never very explicit about the details) are far from the ones that caused our "mess."

The first point could be elaborated at great length, but let's zip through it as quickly as possible. Romney and especially Paul Ryan offer a bold break from the previous 14 years: Rather than accelerating the rate of federal spending growth, a problem that has been growing steadily since the fall of 1998, they propose to go in the exact-opposite direction by slowing the spending train. Instead of increasing regulation, which (despite A.O.'s false claims) has been growing on numerous fronts for the whole of this young millennium, the Romney-Ryan team pledges to roll back regulations, especially those costing the economy more than $100 million each. Instead of adding more and more complications to the tax code, which is conduct to which politicians of both parties have shown an addiction since they began unraveling the 1986 Reagan-Kemp-Bradley-Gephardt nearly-flat tax almost as soon as its ink was dry, the RR team has repeatedly dedicated itself to simplifying the code.

Also: Unlike in the past, RR would expand individual choice in health care. Unlike in the past, RR would push determinedly for all-systems-forward energy development. (G.W. Bush barely even tried to allow more drilling in the Gulf and offshore of the Mid-Atlantic states.) Indeed, the only "past" policies RR would emulate (updating them, not copying them) are the ones that held sway and worked well from 1994 through 1998 and from 1981 through about 1989. As we shall see, those are policies, and certainly results, for which Americans should devoutly yearn.

Here's where the second part of A.O.'s meretricious mythology comes in. Of the only two (vague) "policies" I can find him specifically blaming for today's crisis, one was actually non-existent and the other was demonstrably beneficial. The first is a rather generic claim that a specifically Republican failure to "regulate" somehow caused the financial crisis. This, of course, is nonsense. It is instructive that A.O. never identifies which regulations were left undone. The truth is that the regulatory state overall grew during the Bush presidency. The other truth is that one major area that went unregulated, namely the market in credit default swaps and related entities, was left wild and woolly due to a decision made jointly by bipartisan (Reagan-Bush-Clinton) Fed Chair appointee Alan Greenspan and by Democratic power brokers Arthur Levitt, Larry Summers, and Robert Rubin. Such regulations are indeed among the only ones conservatives of a certain strain (I am one of them) wholeheartedly support. Because derivatives in effect become traded/used as the equivalent of money itself, and because we believe money as a basic unit of exchange should be regulated just as a football's size and shape must remain the same throughout a game in order that the entire rest of the game be fair and sensible, we always support "sound money" and some controls over instruments (such as derivatives) that themselves become units of exchange.

Yet another truth, almost certainly even more important than the first two, is that rather than a lack of regulations being largely responsible for the 2008 financial crisis, it actually was government interference and regulations that demonstrably caused much of the crisis. Conservatives elsewhere have documented the outsized role of the Community Reinvestment Act, and especially the Clinton-era regulatory changes therein, in adding horribly to the housing bubble by forcing lending institutions to allow people to buy houses even though they by all commonsense standards couldn't afford them. Perhaps even worse, the government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were given carte blanche to deliberately distort the market while its Democrat-crony board members made millions of dollars off the backs of the middle class. As is well known, when the Bush administration tried to rein in these out-of-control entities, Democrats led by Barney Frank fought them off, thus adding dangerous amounts of new helium to the aforesaid bubble.

When further regulation (this time bipartisan), this time of the energy market via a misguided energy bill, helped send gasoline prices soaring, the seeds of public panic were sown. When Tim Geithner and company bailed out Bear Stearns in March of 2008 rather than merely ensuring an orderly move into bankruptcy, they raised the level of moral hazard, cemented the idea that some institutions were "too big to fail" and thus encouraged the even larger investment banks to continue reckless practices, and also raised the idea that the failure of such an institution would be a catastrophic event. (If the comparatively smallish Bear could not be allowed to fail for fear of economic systemic disaster, then of course a failure the size of Lehman's would be seen as a cause for completely over-the top panic.) With near-panic among the general populace due to suddenly skyrocketing gasoline prices combined with panic in the financial markets due to the Lehman collapse (and fed by breathless statements by Geithner and company), what might have been a manageable slowdown was turned into a cause for world-is-ending hysteria in September of 2008.

If A.O. wants to avoid the "failed policies of the past," then it is these liberal policies and ones like it, not the conservative ones, he would renounce.

On the other hand, the second vague "policy" A.O. has blamed for the current problems is what he calls "trickle-down fairy dust." This is odd, because what the Left for more than 30 years has falsely called trickle-down economics has clearly and overwhelmingly worked, again and again. It worked under John F. Kennedy in the early 1960s. It worked when Ronald Reagan did it starting in 1981, creating not just the "seven fat years" of then-unprecedented economic growth (and millions upon millions of new jobs) that the Wall Street Journal once boasted of but also stretched over into a whole other decade of growth broken only by the small Bush and Clinton tax hikes of 1990-94.

When a Republican Congress not only cut the budget in 1995-98 but also again applied "trickle-down" remedies in the form of a substantial capital-gains tax cut, the economy boomed again for another five years. And when the Bush tax cuts trickled (or, rather, gushed) throughout the American polity in the last decade, the economy boomed again in a massive recovery from the 9/11-induced slowdown. Yes, boomed. People forget that the economy was humming, with very low unemployment through early 2007 -- until Bush-era spending and regulation, the Clintonite-inspired housing bubble, and the Federal Reserve's crazy policies combined to finally undo the combination of fiscal responsibility and modest/simple tax system that worked so well but that A.O. derides.

So the Anointed One pushes a mythology of conservative perfidy when in fact conservative policies worked like a charm, while at the same time he ignores a long and obvious litany of prior leftist culpability and refuses to take responsibility for the utter failure of his own policies to do any good. (Actually, his policies didn't just fail; they flat-out got in the way, retarding recovery while adding trillions of debt. But that's a history, a true one rather than a mythology, for another day.)

All of this mythmaking, with Barack Obama ludicrously presented as the anointed civic savior of us all, is deeply harmful to American society. He would merit comparison to the Pied Piper of Hamlin, except that the comparison is trite and that the Piper's destructiveness at least was confined to one small town. Instead, we must reach for another analogy.

Perhaps Ozymandias (Obamandias?) will do. A.O. certainly can match his "sneer of cold command." And his administration, by any cogent analysis, has been a colossal wreck. Such is the usual result from self-anointed saviors.

To read about the sub-prime mortgagae crisis that Obama helped happen, click here.

To read abother article by Quin Hillyer, click here.

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